Projection of future gastric cancer incidence and health-care service demand by geographic area in Kanagawa, Japan.

ABSTRACT: Projections of future gastric cancer incidence and the demand for health-care services for gastric cancer patients by geographic area will assist local authorities in determining health-care needs, allocating medical resources, and planning services. This study aims to project the future incidence of gastric cancer, estimate the number of patients per medical institution, and decompose the net changes in cases to assess the impact of population aging by geographic area. Our projections are based on population-based cancer registry data, census data from 2000 to 2020, and the projected population for 2025-2045 in Kanagawa, Japan. We classified Kanagawa into urban, town, outer city, and rural areas based on geographic and population features. The number of medical institutions providing gast

SUBMITTER: Chei CL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11786317 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature