Understanding the distributional effects of recurrent floods in the Philippines.

ABSTRACT: Successful recovery from extreme weather events is key to avoid long-term poverty implications. Yet, in disaster prone regions, there may not always be enough time to recover between events. There is a common narrative that the resulting incomplete recoveries aggravate adverse impacts, but approaches allowing for a systematic quantitative assessment are missing. Here, we extend an agent-based model to study welfare effects in the Philippines depending on household exposure and income. We find that incomplete recoveries increase cumulative consumption and well-being losses across the study period 2000-2018 by 40%. While low-income households suffer the highest well-being losses, the effect of incomplete recoveries is most relevant for middle-income households. Consequently, losses can be cr

SUBMITTER: Sauer IJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11803224 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature