Validation of a clinical prediction model for falls in community-dwelling older adults with COPD: A preliminary analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

People with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are at a higher risk of falls. This preliminary study aims to externally validate a previously developed clinical prediction model for falls in community-dwelling older adults with COPD.

Methods

This was a secondary analysis of a 12-month prospective cohort study. Older adults (≥60 years) with COPD, who reported a fall in the past year and/or had balance concerns, were tracked for 12-month future falls. Baseline predictors included 12-month history of ≥2 falls, total chronic conditions, and Timed Up and Go Dual-Task (TUG-DT) test scores. Model performance was assessed for discrimination (c-statistic), calibration (E:O, CITL, and calibration slope), and clinical value (decision curve analysis).

Results

SUBMITTER: Nguyen KT 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11831686 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Jan-Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature