Project description:BackgroundOn average Black patients have longer LOS than comparable White patients. Longer hospital length of stay (LOS) may be associated with higher readmission risk. However, evidence suggests that the Hospital Readmission Reduction Program (HRRP) reduced overall racial differences in 30-day adjusted readmission risk. Yet, it is unclear whether the HRRP narrowed these LOS racial differences.ObjectiveWe examined the relationship between Medicare-insured Black-White differences in average, adjusted LOS (ALOS) and the HRRP's implementation and evaluation periods.MethodsUsing 2009-2017 data from State Inpatient Dataset from New York, New Jersey, and Florida, we employed an interrupted time series analysis with multivariate generalized regression models controlling for patient, disease, and hospital characteristics. Results are reported per 100 admissions.ResultsWe found that for those discharged home, Black-White ALOS differences significantly widened by 4.15 days per 100 admissions (95% CI: 1.19 to 7.11, P < 0.001) for targeted conditions from before to after the HRRP implementation period, but narrowed in the HRRP evaluation period by 1.84 days per 100 admissions for every year-quarter (95% CI: -2.86 to -0.82, P < 0.001); for those discharged to non-home destinations, there was no significant change between HRRP periods, but ALOS differences widened over the study period. Black-White ALOS differences for non-targeted conditions remained unchanged regardless of HRRP phase and discharge destination.ConclusionIncreased LOS for Black patients may have played a role in reducing Black-White disparities in 30-day readmission risks for targeted conditions among patients discharged to home.
Project description:BackgroundEvidence on the association between newborn length of hospital stay (LOS) and risk of readmission is conflicting. We compared methods for modelling this relationship, by gestational age, using population-level hospital data on births in England between 2005-14.MethodsThe association between LOS and unplanned readmission within 30 days of postnatal discharge was explored using four approaches: (i) modelling hospital-level LOS and readmission rates; (ii) comparing trends over time in LOS and readmission; (iii) modelling individual LOS and adjusted risk of readmission; and (iv) instrumental variable analyses (hospital-level mean LOS and number of births on the same day).ResultsOf 4 667 827 babies, 5.2% were readmitted within 30 days. Aggregated data showed hospitals with longer mean LOS were not associated with lower readmission rates for vaginal (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) 0.87, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.66, 1.13), or caesarean (aRR 0.89, 95% CI 0.72, 1.12) births. LOS fell by an average 2.0% per year for vaginal births and 3.4% for caesarean births, while readmission rates increased by 4.4 and 5.1% per year respectively. Approaches (iii) and (iv) indicated that longer LOS was associated with a reduced risk of readmission, but only for late preterm, vaginal births (34-36 completed weeks' gestation).ConclusionsLonger newborn LOS may benefit late preterm babies, possibly due to increased medical or psychosocial support for those at greater risk of potentially preventable readmissions after birth. Research based on observational data to evaluate relationships between LOS and readmission should use methods to reduce the impact of unmeasured confounding.
Project description:ObjectiveThis study aimed to investigate the predictive capabilities of historical patient records to predict patient adverse outcomes such as mortality, readmission, and prolonged length of stay (PLOS).MethodsLeveraging a de-identified dataset from a tertiary care university hospital, we developed an eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) framework combining tree-based and traditional machine learning (ML) models with interpretations and statistical analysis of predictors of mortality, readmission, and PLOS.ResultsOur framework demonstrated exceptional predictive performance with a notable area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.9625 and an area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) of 0.8575 for 30-day mortality at discharge and an AUROC of 0.9545 and AUPRC of 0.8419 at admission. For the readmission and PLOS risk, the highest AUROC achieved were 0.8198 and 0.9797, respectively. The tree-based models consistently outperformed the traditional ML models in all 4 prediction tasks. The key predictors were age, derived temporal features, routine laboratory tests, and diagnostic and procedural codes.ConclusionThe study underscores the potential of leveraging medical history for enhanced hospital predictive analytics. We present an accurate and intuitive framework for early warning models that can be easily implemented in the current and developing digital health platforms to predict adverse outcomes accurately.
Project description:PurposeThe aim of the present study was to identify risk factors associated with postoperative morbidity and major morbidity, with a prolonged length of hospital stay and with the need of readmission in patients undergoing appendectomy due to acute appendicitis.MethodsWe performed a retrospective analysis of 1638 adult patients who underwent emergency appendectomy for preoperatively suspected acute appendicitis from 2010 to 2020 at the University Hospital Erlangen. Data including patient demographics, pre-, intra-, and postoperative findings were collected and compared between different outcome groups (morbidity, major morbidity, prolonged length of postoperative hospital stay (LOS) and readmission) from those patients with verified acute appendicitis (n = 1570).ResultsRate of negative appendectomies was 4%. In patients with verified acute appendicitis, morbidity, major morbidity and readmission occurred in 6%, 3% and 2%, respectively. Mean LOS was 3.9 days. Independent risk factors for morbidity were higher age, higher preoperative WBC-count and CRP, lower preoperative hemoglobin, longer time to surgery and longer duration of surgery. As independent risk factors for major morbidity could be identified higher age, higher preoperative CRP, lower preoperative hemoglobin and longer time to surgery. Eight parameters were independent risk factors for a prolonged LOS: higher age, higher preoperative WBC-count and CRP, lower preoperative hemoglobin, need for conversion, longer surgery duration, presence of intraoperative complicated appendicitis and of postoperative morbidity. Presence of malignancy and higher preoperative WBC-count were independent risk factors for readmission.ConclusionAmong patients undergoing appendectomy for acute appendicitis, there are relevant risk factors predicting postoperative complications, prolonged hospital stays and readmission. Patients with the presence of the identified risk factors should receive special attention in the postoperative course and may benefit from a more individualized therapy.
Project description:BackgroundInjuries are a major cause of health problems in low- and middle-income countries than in high-income nations. This study aimed to describe injuries and identify factors associated with the emergency department (ED) length of stay (LoS).MethodsThis study was conducted at the Addis Ababa Burn, Emergency, and Trauma (AaBET) hospital in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia. All injured patients who visited the ED between April 1, 2021, and March 30, 2022, were included in the study. Data were collected through a retrospective medical record review. Descriptive statistics were used to present the data and a multivariable binary logistic regression model was used to assess factors associated with LoS in the ED.ResultsA total of 6991 (86.8%) injured patients were studied out of 8055 patients who visited the ED. The majority of the patients were male, 5184 (74.2%), and aged between 18-44 years, 4368 (62.4%). The most common mechanism of injury was road traffic accidents, 2693 (38.5%), followed by falls, 1523 (21.8%). The most commonly reported injured body parts were the head (2179, 31.2%). Of the total injured patients, 101 (1.8%) died. The LoS in the ED was greater than 24 hours for 24.4% (95% CI: 23.3-25.5) of the injured patients, with a mean duration of 2.51 (SD = 5.18) days. Factors significantly associated with a prolonged LoS (>24 hours) in the ED included being residing in outside Addis Ababa in Oromia [AOR: 1.61, 95% CI (1.38-1.88)], Amhara [AOR: 1.56, 95% CI (1.14-2.14)] and other [AOR: 3.93, 95% CI (2.73-5.64)], male [AOR: 1.30, 95% CI (1.09-1.54)], aged 60 years or older [AOR: 1.38, 95% CI (1.03-1.85)]; sustaining injuries from road traffic accident [AOR: 2.43, 95% CI (1.19-4.94)], being triaged to orange [AOR: 3.03, 95% CI (2.40-3.83)] and red zones [AOR:3.37, 95% CI (2.65-4.28)]; having fracture injuries [AOR: 1.95, (1.34-2.83)]; and experiencing contusions and crushing injuries [AOR: 2.63 (1.57-4.42)].ConclusionsInjuries are the major share of cases among ED patients at AaBET hospital. Patients were staying in the ED for longer than the recommended 24 hours by the Ethiopian health system. Intervention measures focusing on injury prevention are necessary to reduce the patient burden on the hospital and strengthen the hospital's capacity to reduce prolonged LoS.
Project description:BackgroundThe population of persons seeking medical care is linguistically diverse in the United States. Language barriers can adversely affect a patient's ability to explain their symptoms. Among hospitalized patients, these barriers may lead to higher readmission rates and longer hospitalizations. Trained interpreters help overcome communication barriers; however, interpreter usage among patients is suboptimal.ObjectiveTo investigate differences among patients with limited English proficiency (LEP) in their length of stay (LOS) and 30-day readmission rate associated with their receiving professional interpretation at admission or discharge.DesignWe analyzed the rates of interpretation at admission and discharge of all LEP patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital over a three-year period. We calculated length of stay in days and as log of LOS. We also examined 30-day readmission. Using multivariable regression models, we explored differences among patients who received interpretation at admission, discharge, or both, controlling for patient characteristics, including age, illness severity, language, and gender.ParticipantsAll LEP patients admitted between May 1, 2004 and April 30, 2007.Main measuresLength of hospital stay as related to use of professional interpreters; readmission to the hospital within 30 days.Key resultsOf the 3071 patients included in the study, 39 % received language interpretation on both admission and discharge date. Patients who did not receive professional interpretation at admission or both admission/discharge had an increase in their LOS of between 0.75 and 1.47 days, compared to patients who had an interpreter on both day of admission and discharge (P<0.02). Patients receiving interpretation at admission and/or discharge were less likely than patients receiving no interpretation to be readmitted with 30 days.ConclusionsThe length of a hospital stay for LEP patients was significantly longer when professional interpreters were not used at admission or both admission/discharge.
Project description:BackgroundDiagnostic errors occur frequently, especially in the emergency room. Estimates about the consequences of diagnostic error vary widely and little is known about the factors predicting error. Our objectives thus was to determine the rate of discrepancy between diagnoses at hospital admission and discharge in patients presenting through the emergency room, the discrepancies' consequences, and factors predicting them.MethodsProspective observational clinical study combined with a survey in a University-affiliated tertiary care hospital. Patients' hospital discharge diagnosis was compared with the diagnosis at hospital admittance through the emergency room and classified as similar or discrepant according to a predefined scheme by two independent expert raters. Generalized linear mixed-effects models were used to estimate the effect of diagnostic discrepancy on mortality and length of hospital stay and to determine whether characteristics of patients, diagnosing physicians, and context predicted diagnostic discrepancy.Results755 consecutive patients (322 [42.7%] female; mean age 65.14 years) were included. The discharge diagnosis differed substantially from the admittance diagnosis in 12.3% of cases. Diagnostic discrepancy was associated with a longer hospital stay (mean 10.29 vs. 6.90 days; Cohen's d 0.47; 95% confidence interval 0.26 to 0.70; P = 0.002) and increased patient mortality (8 (8.60%) vs. 25(3.78%); OR 2.40; 95% CI 1.05 to 5.5 P = 0.038). A factor available at admittance that predicted diagnostic discrepancy was the diagnosing physician's assessment that the patient presented atypically for the diagnosis assigned (OR 3.04; 95% CI 1.33-6.96; P = 0.009).ConclusionsDiagnostic discrepancies are a relevant healthcare problem in patients admitted through the emergency room because they occur in every ninth patient and are associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Discrepancies are not readily predictable by fixed patient or physician characteristics; attention should focus on context.Trial registrationhttps://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/6/5/e011585.
Project description:BackgroundProlonged emergency department length of stay (EDLOS) in critically ill patients leads to increased mortality. This nationwide study investigated patient and hospital characteristics associated with prolonged EDLOS and in-hospital mortality in adult patients admitted from the emergency department (ED) to the intensive care unit (ICU).MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the National Emergency Department Information System. Prolonged EDLOS was defined as an EDLOS of ≥ 6 h. We constructed multivariate logistic regression models of patient and hospital variables as predictors of prolonged EDLOS and in-hospital mortality.ResultsBetween 2016 and 2019, 657,622 adult patients were admitted to the ICU from the ED, representing 2.4% of all ED presentations. The median EDLOS of the overall study population was 3.3 h (interquartile range, 1.9-6.1 h) and 25.3% of patients had a prolonged EDLOS. Patient characteristics associated with prolonged EDLOS included night-time ED presentation and Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score of 1 or higher. Hospital characteristics associated with prolonged EDLOS included a greater number of staffed beds and a higher ED level. Prolonged EDLOS was associated with in-hospital mortality after adjustment for selected confounders (adjusted odds ratio: 1.18, 95% confidence interval: 1.16-1.20). Patient characteristics associated with in-hospital mortality included age ≥ 65 years, transferred-in, artificially ventilated in the ED, assignment of initial triage to more urgency, and CCI score of 1 or higher. Hospital characteristics associated with in-hospital mortality included a lesser number of staffed beds and a lower ED level.ConclusionsIn this nationwide study, 25.3% of adult patients admitted to the ICU from the ED had a prolonged EDLOS, which in turn was significantly associated with an increased in-hospital mortality risk. Hospital characteristics, including the number of staffed beds and the ED level, were associated with prolonged EDLOS and in-hospital mortality.
Project description:Objective: How hospital length of stay after delivery for women with preeclampsia is associated with risk for readmission is unknown. The objective of this study was to evaluate risk for 60-day hypertension-related postpartum readmission based on length of stay after delivery.Methods: The 2014 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's (HCUP) Nationwide Readmissions Database was used to analyze risk for readmission for a hypertension-related diagnosis within 60 days from cesarean delivery hospitalization for women with preeclampsia who underwent cesarean delivery. Risk for readmission was evaluated based on postoperative length of stay as well as demographic, hospital, and other obstetric factors. Population weights were applied to create national estimates. Multivariable analyses were performed with adjusted risk ratios (aRR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals as measures of effect. Mean and median hospital charges based upon postoperative length of stay were also evaluated. Time from delivery hospitalization to readmission was calculated.Results: In 2014, 65 401 women with preeclampsia underwent cesarean delivery. Of these, 1016 women (1.6%) were readmitted for a hypertension-related diagnosis. 921 of the 1016 readmissions occurred within 10 days of discharge (90.6%). In adjusted analyses, postoperative LOS 5-7 days and >7 days compared to LOS <3 days were associated with decreased risk of 60-day hypertension-related readmission (aRR 0.59 95% CI 0.45, 0.78; aRR 0.53 95% CI 0.29, 1.00, respectively). When the cohort was restricted to women with severe preeclampsia or eclampsia, LOS 5-7 days was associated with decreased risk of 60-day hypertension-related readmission in both unadjusted and adjusted analyses compared to LOS <3 days (risk ratios (RR) 0.34, 95% CI 0.18, 0.65; aRR 0.29, 95% 0.18, 0.46, respectively). Median delivery hospitalization charges were $26 512. Compared to LOS <3 days, mean and median charges increased significantly for patients with LOS 4, 5-7, and >7 days.Conclusion: Longer postoperative length of stay during cesarean delivery hospitalizations was associated with decreased risk for postpartum hypertension-related readmission. Most readmissions occurred soon after discharge. These findings support that post-delivery management may play a role in likelihood of women requiring subsequent readmission for complications related to preeclampsia after discharge.
Project description:The effect of emergency department (ED) length of stay (EDLOS) on in-hospital mortality (IHM) remains unclear. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to determine the association between EDLOS and IHM. We searched the PubMed, Medline, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Controlled Register of Trials, CINAHL, PsycInfo, and Scopus databases from their inception until 14-15 January 2022. We included studies reporting the association between EDLOS and IHM. A total of 11,337 references were identified, and 52 studies (total of 1,718,518 ED patients) were included in the systematic review and 33 in the meta-analysis. A statistically significant association between EDLOS and IHM was observed for EDLOS over 24 h in patients admitted to an intensive care unit (ICU) (OR = 1.396, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.147 to 1.701; p < 0.001, I2 = 0%) and for low EDLOS in non-ICU-admitted patients (OR = 0.583, 95% CI: 0.453 to 0.745; p < 0.001, I2 = 0%). No associations were detected for the other cut-offs. Our findings suggest that there is an association between IHM low EDLOS and EDLOS exceeding 24 h and IHM. Long stays in the ED should not be allowed and special attention should be given to patients admitted after a short stay in the ED.