Temporal Trends in the Burden of Diabetes and Its Risk Factors Across the Western Pacific Region Between 1990 and 2044: A Systematic Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

ABSTRACT:

Aims

We aimed to assess changes in the burden of diabetes in the Western Pacific region (WPR) between 1990 and 2019, project future trends for 2020-2044, and identify the factors influencing these trends.

Materials and methods

Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 were used to calculate the age-standardised incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardised death rate (ASDR) and age-standardised disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate for diabetes in the region. The Nordpred model was used to predict diabetes-related ASIR and ASDR trends over the next 25 years, and an age-period-cohort (APC) model analysed the effects of age, period and cohort. We examined the associations of ASIR, ASDR and age-standardised DALYs rate per 100,000 population with the socio-demographic in

SUBMITTER: Liu X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11845174 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature