Anthropogenic intensification of Arctic anticyclonic circulation.

ABSTRACT: The past four decades have witnessed a strengthening of the winter anticyclonic circulation over the Barents-Kara Sea (BKS), a change that has contributed substantially to amplified local warming and sea ice loss, as well as to Eurasian cooling. However, the cause of this trend in the BKS atmospheric circulation remains unknown. Here we show that anthropogenic greenhouse gases are the primary driver of the strengthening of the BKS anticyclonic circulation, with anthropogenic aerosols playing a secondary role, both together accounting for about 86% of the observed circulation trend. Both forcings induce an amplified BKS low-tropospheric warming through coupling with strong sea ice loss. This amplified warming raises geopotential height aloft through thermal expansion, causing an anomalous a

SUBMITTER: Liu Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11864198 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature