Excess mortality during COVID-19 and prediction of mortality in Bangladesh: an analysis based on death records in urban graveyards.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted global mortality, underscoring the need for reliable data to guide public health policy. In low- and middle-income countries, graveyard-based death records can offer valuable insights into COVID-19-related mortality, yet they remain limited. Additionally, data on mortality beyond the pandemic remains scarce as we approach the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals. We addressed this gap by using graveyard-based data to assess excess mortality during the pandemic (2020-23) and predict mortality trends through 2030.

Methods

We analysed 70 585 deaths from six graveyards in Dhaka, Bangladesh, from January 2001 to December 2023. The data was divided into pre-COVID-19 (2001-19), peak-COVID-19 (2020-21), and end-of-COVID-19 (2022-

SUBMITTER: Akter E 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11869516 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature