Projections for prevalence of Parkinson's disease and its driving factors in 195 countries and territories to 2050: modelling study of Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To predict the global, regional, and national prevalence of Parkinson's disease by age, sex, year, and Socio-demographic Index to 2050 and quantify the factors driving changes in Parkinson's disease cases.

Design

Modelling study.

Data source

Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Main outcome measures

Prevalent number, all age prevalence and age standardised prevalence of Parkinson's disease in 2050, and average annual percentage change of prevalence from 2021 to 2050; contribution of population ageing, population growth, and changes in prevalence to the growth in Parkinson's disease cases; population attributable fractions for modifiable factors.

Results

25.2 (95% uncertainty interval 21.7 to 30.1) million people were projected to be living with

SUBMITTER: Su D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11881235 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature