Spatiotemporal heterogeneity in malaria transmission across Indonesia: analysis of routine surveillance data 2010-2019.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Indonesia faces challenges in achieving its goal of eliminating malaria by 2030, with cases stagnating between 2015 and 2019. This study analysed regional epidemiological trends and demographic changes in malaria cases from 2010 to 2019, considering differences in surveillance across the country.

Methods

We analysed national and sub-national malaria routine surveillance data using generalised additive and generalised linear models to assess temporal trends in case reporting, test positivity, demographics, and parasite species distribution while accounting for surveillance variations.

Results

After adjusting for increased testing from 2015 onwards, we estimated declining malaria incidence in six of seven Indonesian regions. These regions showed a demographic

SUBMITTER: Djaafara BA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11881261 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature