Climate change affects the suitability of Chinese cherry (Prunus pseudocerasus Lindl.) in China.

ABSTRACT: The rapid development of Prunus pseudocerasus related industry has increasingly contributed to rural vitalization in China. This study employed a biomod2 ensemble model, utilizing environmental and species occurrence data from 151 P. pseudocerasus germplasm wild/local samples, to predict potential geographical distribution, suitability changes, climate dependence, and ecological niche dynamics. The optimized maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model yielded the most accurate predictions. The climate variables with the greatest impact on suitability were precipitation of warmest quarter and mean diurnal temperature range. The total potential suitable area for P. pseudocerasus was approximately 2.78 × 10⁶ km², increasing with CO₂ concentration. The highly suitable area

SUBMITTER: Lv Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11884058 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature