Incidence and prevalence of dysthymia among young adults in China, 1990-2021, with forecasts to 2046: an age-period-cohort analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Dysthymia, a chronic depressive disorder, poses a significant public health challenge due to its prolonged course and substantial impact on quality of life, particularly among high-risk populations such as young adults. This study aims to investigate trends in dysthymia incidence and prevalence among young adults in China from 1990 to 2021 and to project future patterns through 2026.

Methods

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 Study, we conducted an Age-Period-Cohort (APC) analysis to assess the relative risks (RRs) of dysthymia incidence and prevalence among Chinese young adults aged 20-44 years from 1990 to 2021. Bayesian and Nordpred APC models were applied to forecast age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and prevalence rates (ASPR) for t

SUBMITTER: Wu J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11905626 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature