Future Life-Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emission Scenarios for the Austrian Building Stock: A Systematic Approach.

ABSTRACT: Building stock modeling can be used to identify trajectories that do not exceed the remaining carbon budget and support science-based pathways. A systematic approach is used from the field of prospective life-cycle assessment, which is based on systems thinking, to develop scenarios for the Austrian building stock that consider life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions. The influential parameters of the model are identified; their interactions are classified; quantitative future assumptions are adopted; and five scenario narratives are created. A maximum emission reduction of 90% from 2023 to 2050 is revealed. In comparison, leaving current policies in place would lead to a trajectory that reduces emissions by only 66%. Three additional scenarios achieve emission reductions between 84 and 86% by

SUBMITTER: Alaux N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11924235 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature