Projections of Public Spending on Pharmaceuticals: A Review of Methods.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Forecasting future public pharmaceutical expenditure is a challenge for healthcare payers, particularly owing to the unpredictability of new market introductions and their economic impact. No best-practice forecasting methods have been established so far. The literature distinguishes between the top-down approach, based on historical trends, and the bottom-up approach, using a combination of historical and horizon scanning data. The objective of this review is to describe the methods for projections of pharmaceutical expenditure that apply the "bottom-up" approach and to synthesize the knowledge of their predictive accuracy.

Methods

Projections of public pharmaceutical expenditure applicable to Western economies including a comprehensive method description and pub

SUBMITTER: Odnoletkova I 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11929675 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature