How Secondary Interventions Reduce the Burden of Alcohol Consumption at Risk of Cirrhosis: A Public Health Decision-Making Model.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Better understanding of the kinetics of the consumption of alcohol at risk of cirrhosis (≥ 20 g/day) and the prediction of the burden of alcohol consumption are needed for public health decision-making.

Methods

Based on individual data from 45 054 individuals, collected from the French Health, Health Care and Insurance Survey between 2002 and 2014, a Markov model was developed to predict the future burden of alcohol consumption ≥ 20 g/day. This estimated the incidence of alcohol intake with an intermediate (20-50 g/day) or high (≥ 50 g/day) risk of cirrhosis. The impact of five primary or secondary interventions was evaluated between 2024 and 2030.

Results

A 1 L increase in per capita alcohol consumption was associated with a 7% increase in the risk of prog

SUBMITTER: Delacote C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11960838 | biostudies-literature | 2025 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature