Changes in incarceration and tuberculosis notifications from prisons during the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe and the Americas: a time-series analysis of national surveillance data.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted tuberculosis control programmes globally; whether or not this disproportionately affected people who were incarcerated is unknown. We aimed to evaluate changes in incarceration and tuberculosis notifications in prisons in Europe and the Americas during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

Data from WHO Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) and WHO Europe were used to conduct a joint hierarchical Bayesian negative binomial time-series. This approach accounted for world region, country-specific temporal trends, and country-specific autocorrelated random effects to simultaneously model and predict both annual prison population (ie, the offset) and prison tuberculosis cases (ie, the primary outcome). Results were used to calculate percentag

SUBMITTER: Zheng A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11962358 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature