Trends and Projections of Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease in China Versus Other G20 Countries: A Comparative Study Based on the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Database.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

This study aims to analyse the burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) in China and other G20 countries from 1990-2021 and predict the burden for the next decade.

Methods

Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study, we evaluated the age-standardised rates (ASRs) of incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) by estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). The Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to forecast the incidence, mortality and DALY rates of IHD in China from 2021-2040.

Results

The ASRs of incidence, mortality and DALYs of IHD in China increased with EAPCs of 0.66 (95% CI: 0.50, 0.82), 0.97 (95% CI: 0.63, 1.31) and 0.51 (95% CI: 0.24, 0.78), respectively. Compared with other G20 countries, Ch

SUBMITTER: Zhang Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11967484 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature