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Tree species composition governs urban phenological responses to warming.


ABSTRACT: Urban environments are typically warmer than surrounding rural areas, providing a unique setting for studying phenological responses to climate warming. Phenological differences between urban and rural trees are driven by local climate and species composition. Yet, the extent to which species composition influences phenological responses to urbanization remains poorly understood. To address this, we combine manipulative experiments, satellite-derived phenology data, and georeferenced tree occurrence records. Our findings show that, across Northern Hemisphere cities, differences in the temperature sensitivity of spring phenology between urban and rural areas are largely driven by urban-rural variation in species composition, surpassing the effects of preseason temperature. This pattern is p

SUBMITTER: Wu Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12008182 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature