Changes in the annual cycle of surface air temperature over China in the 21st century simulated by CMIP6 models.

ABSTRACT: The rise in surface air temperature is one of the most profound manifestations of global warming, and its annual cycle in mid-latitudes, has been a key focus in climate related research. This study aims to assess the performances of the CMIP6 models in terms of simulating historical and predicting future annual cycles of surface air temperature over China. The historical (1961 - 2014) and future monthly temperatures (2015 - 2100) under three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) from 13 models were analyzed. The position of the maximum (minimum) value of the temperature (shorted as phase-max and phase-min, respectively) and amplitude were obtained through a Fourier smoothing of the monthly temperature, and their long-term trends were calculated and compared with

SUBMITTER: Zhang C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12009958 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature