The burden and trend prediction of ischemic heart disease associated with lead exposure: Insights from the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.

ABSTRACT:

Aim

The purpose of this study was to quantify the global burden of ischemic heart disease associated with lead exposure, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study, 2021.

Methods

Data on the burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) associated with lead exposure were compiled globally from 1990 to 2021. These data were further stratified by dimensions including gender, age, GBD regions, and countries. Utilizing the Joinpoint regression model, we analyzed long-term trends in the burden of IHD disease associated with lead exposure and derived estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). For future projections, we used an ARIMA model to predict potential trends in the burden of IHD disease associated with lead exposure over the next decade.

Results

The stud

SUBMITTER: Ding Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12013041 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature