Modeling Singapore's First African Swine Fever Outbreak in Wild Boar Populations.

ABSTRACT: African swine fever (ASF) is a virulent and lethal disease affecting domestic pigs and wild boars, with serious implications for biodiversity, food security, and the economy. Since its reemergence in Europe, ASF has become widespread, and Singapore reported its first ASF outbreak in its wild boar population. To understand the transmission dynamics in Singapore's urban landscape, an agent-based spatiotemporal model was designed to mechanistically model the wild boar dispersal and their interactions for ASF transmission. We investigated the impacts of wild boar dispersal capacity and carcass removal actions on the spatiotemporal dynamics of disease transmission. The model predictions were validated using observed wild boar mortality reports in Singapore and suggested multiple disease entry p

SUBMITTER: Lim RBH 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12016949 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature