Increased thermal suitability elevates the risk of dengue transmission across the mid hills of Nepal.

ABSTRACT: The burden of climate-sensitive, mosquito-borne diseases, including dengue, has significantly increased in recent years. Understanding the temporal and spatial variations of these diseases is essential for effectively controlling potential outbreaks. In this study, we utilized Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite land surface temperature (LST) data (MOD11A2) and a temperature-dependent mechanistic model (R0) to predict the monthly suitability for dengue transmission in Nepal from 2001 to 2020 for both mosquito vectors, Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus. We divided the study period into two episodes: 2001-2010, which we characterized as the period of dengue emergence, and 2011-2020, identified as the period of rapid expansion. We compared the thermal suitability ac

SUBMITTER: Acharya BK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12021130 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature