Cost trajectory of hydrogen fuel cell technology in China.

ABSTRACT: Reducing the cost of hydrogen fuel cell technology is crucial in propelling the hydrogen economy and achieving decarbonized energy systems. This study identifies the hydrogen fuel cell cost trajectory through a multi-stage learning curve model, highlighting technology learning mechanisms across different stages. Findings show that innovation and production contribute to cost reduction, and the learning by researching holds a more significant role presently, while the learning by doing takes precedence in the long term, achieving a 14% learning rate. The cost predictions imply that the system cost of hydrogen fuel cell is expected to fall below 1,000 yuan/kW after 2031. Moreover, the scenario analyses highlight the conducive role of various hydrogen production technologies and the evolution

SUBMITTER: Wang X 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12032936 | biostudies-literature | 2025 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature