Meteorological drought under historical and future climate scenarios in North Gojjam sub-basin, Abay River basin of Ethiopia.

ABSTRACT: The impacts of climate change are expected to vary considerably across regional and local scales, underscoring the urgent need for localized assessments. This study investigates the spatio-temporal characteristics of meteorological drought across three distinct periods- baseline (1985-2018), near future (2020-2050), and mid-future (2051-2081) under two climate scenarios: SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, within the North Gojjam sub-basin of the Abay Basin, Ethiopia. It further examines long-term trends in precipitation and both minimum and maximum temperatures across the sub-basin. Future climate projections were derived using six global climate models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Data from seven stations were ex

SUBMITTER: Belay T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12270152 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature