How Armed Conflict Influences Migration.

ABSTRACT: The literature on migration during armed confiict is abundant. Yet, the questions of highest policy relevance-how many people will leave because of a confiict and how many more people will be living outside a country because of a confiict-are not well addressed. This article explores these questions using an agent-based model, a computational simulation that allows us to connect armed confiict to individual behavioral changes and then to aggregate migration fiows and migrant stocks. With detailed data from Nepal during the 1996-2006 confiict, we find that out-migration rates actually decrease on average, largely due to a prior decrease in return migration. Regardless, the stock of migrants outside the country increases modestly during that period. Broadly, this study demon

SUBMITTER: Williams NE 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12306641 | biostudies-literature | 2021 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature