Global, regional, and national burden of acute glomerulonephritis from 1990 to 2021 and future trend predictions until 2036: a systematic analysis using the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

This study aimed to analyze the global, regional, and national burden of acute glomerulonephritis (AGN) from 1990 to 2021 and project its trends through 2036 using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study.

Methods

Using the GBD 2021 dataset, we evaluated the burden of AGN in terms of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). Age-standardized rates (ASRs) were calculated, and trends were assessed using the Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) measure. Decomposition analysis quantified the contributions of population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes. Projections for AGN burden were modeled using the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) approach.

Results

From 1990 to 2021, the global age-standardized

SUBMITTER: Jiao Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12307507 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature