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Thermal mismatch models derived from occurrence data predict pathogen prevalence in frogs.


ABSTRACT: Emerging infectious diseases increasingly threaten many wildlife populations, yet the impacts of pathogens vary considerably both within and among host species. The environmental tolerance mismatch hypothesis (ETMH) suggests that this variability stems in part from differences in the relative performance of hosts and pathogens under varying environmental conditions. According to the ETMH, pathogen impacts should be more severe in environments where pathogen performance is high and host performance is low, and vice versa. However, testing the ETMH with field data is challenging due to the difficulty of measuring host and pathogen performance among locations and quantifying performance mismatches. Here, we demonstrate that a measure of thermal mismatch, based on species realized thermal nich

SUBMITTER: Duncan RP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12318235 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature