A prediction model for 'ICU mortality or prolonged ICU stay' in critically unwell patients with acute pancreatitis: insights from a 2003-2020 cohort analysis using the ANZICS-CORE database.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

Critically unwell patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) are at increased risk of mortality and prolonged ICU length of stay (LOS). We quantified the frequency, risk factors and complications of prolonged ICU LOS in a large cohort of critically unwell adult patients with AP and developed a model to predict a low-risk trajectory 'survived ICU with ICU LOS ≤7 days' versus a high-risk trajectory 'ICU mortality or ICU LOS > 7 days'.

Methods

A retrospective cohort analysis of adult patients admitted to Australian and New Zealand ICUs with AP between 2003 and 2020 was conducted using the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Centre for Outcome Reporting and Evaluation database. Data was censored to December 2020 in order to pre-date the COVID-19 pandemic. The

SUBMITTER: Venkatesh K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12326670 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature