Most European countries will miss EU targets on antibacterial use by 2030: historical analysis of European and OECD countries, comparison of community and hospital sectors and forecast to 2040.

ABSTRACT: The rise of bacterial resistance threatens the treatment of infections and is closely linked to the consumption of antibacterial drugs. The EU's 'One Health' approach aims to address this issue by requiring Member States to reduce consumption by 20% by 2030. This study analyses antibacterial consumption trends in the total care of European and non-European OECD countries, compares the community and hospital sector, uses ARIMA modelling and correlation analysis to provide long-term forecasts, assesses patterns of consumption and evaluates whether current trends are in line with the EU target. Projections to 2040 show increases for Spain (+36.6%; 30.7 DID), Greece (+31.4%; 37.5 DID), Czechia (+29.7%; 19.4 DID), Bulgaria (+28.3%; 33. 7 DID), Malta (+26.5%; 28.8 DID), Denmark (+25.7%; 19.8 DID

SUBMITTER: Bindel LJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12350445 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature