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Do People Believe They Are Less Predictable Than Others? Three Replications of Pronin and Kugler's (2010) Experiment 1.


ABSTRACT: Pronin and Kugler (2010) proposed that people believe they have more free will than others. In their Experiment 1 they showed that US students evaluated their own decisions and life events as less predictable than similar decisions and life events of close others, presumably suggesting higher free will attributions. We conducted three pre-registered replications of this study, one with a Hong Kong undergraduate sample (N = 47) and two online samples from the USA (MTurk using CloudResearch: N = 126, Prolific: N = 858) (overall N = 1031). In Studies 1a and 1b that mirrored the target article's mixed design (self-other between, past-future within), we found support for the original findings with weaker effects. In Study 2 we contrasted between-subject versus within

SUBMITTER: Chandrashekar SP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12372692 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature