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Stage-Specific Impacts of Climate Change on Greater White-Fronted Geese Along the East Asian Flyway.


ABSTRACT: Migratory flyways sustain waterbird populations by linking critical habitats across their annual cycle. However, stage-specific impacts of climate change on these habitats remain poorly understood. We integrated species distribution models with annual migration data from 30 Greater White-fronted Geese (Anser albifrons frontalis) to assess changes in habitat suitability, distributional shifts, and suitability fluctuations across breeding, stopover, and wintering stages under mid-century (2040-2060) climate scenarios. Suitability fluctuations were quantified as the coefficient of variation (CV) in habitat suitability between current and future projections. Projected habitat responses varied markedly across stages: breeding areas contracted by 29.9%, wintering areas expanded by 62.7%,

SUBMITTER: Wang C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12383389 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature