Projecting Uncertainty in Ecosystem Persistence Under Climate Change.

ABSTRACT: Global projections of ecosystem responses to increasing climatic and anthropogenic pressures are needed to inform adaptation planning. However, data of appropriate spatiotemporal resolution are often not available to parameterize complex environmental processes at the global scale. Modeling approaches that can project the probability of ecosystem persistence when parameter uncertainty is high may offer a way forward. In particular, the conservation of coastal ecosystems with complex dynamics, like mangrove forests, may benefit from knowing where their future persistence is highly probable or, alternatively, cannot be reliably estimated without additional data of appropriate resolution. Here, we simulated network models to make probabilistic projections of the direction of net change in man

SUBMITTER: Buelow CA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12402971 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature