Conventional machine learning-based prediction models did not outperform the International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is a major cause of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). The International IgA Nephropathy Prediction Tool (IIgAN-PT) predicts IgAN prognosis, but improvement in the prediction performance using machine learning (ML)-based methods is needed.

Methods

We analyzed 4,425 biopsy-confirmed patients with IgAN and ≥6 months of follow-up from nine tertiary university hospitals in Korea. The study population was divided into development and validation cohorts. Using the collected 87 clinicodemographic and pathological variables, ML-based prediction models for ESKD or estimated glomerular filtration rate decline (50% reduction or <15 mL/min/1.73 m2 ) were constructed: 1) the conventional CatBoost model, 2) the optimized CatBoost model with Cox

SUBMITTER: Park S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12417581 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature