Epidemiologic consequences of preclinical transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus in cattle.

ABSTRACT: Foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) can be transmitted during the incubation phase, before clinical detection, but the epidemiological consequences of this preclinical infectious period have not been fully assessed in cattle. Using experimental data derived from transmission studies performed in vivo, we parameterized a state-transition model and simulated FMDV outbreaks across three U.S. regions under varying durations of preclinical infectiousness. We evaluated multiple epidemiologic outcomes under both optimal (1 day after clinical onset) and suboptimal (4 days after clinical onset) detection scenarios. The modeled output demonstrated that even a single day of preclinical transmission significantly increased outbreak magnitude, spatial extent, and duration. These effects were mag

SUBMITTER: Scharzenberger S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12426179 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature