Current and Future Projection of Scrub Typhus Risk Related to Land Use Change in China.

ABSTRACT: The widespread concern surrounding the enhanced spillover risk of infectious diseases due to dramatic global land use changes has sparked significant discussion. However, the specific implications of these changes on scrub typhus, a vector-borne infectious disease facing increasing incidence and substantial expansion, remain unclear. Here, we constructed a comprehensive landscape fragmentation index (LFI), which reflects the interaction between human activities and natural habitats. Then we utilized a generalized additive model (GAM) to estimate the comprehensive and segmented impacts of LFI on scrub typhus incidence in China, grouping the results by year, land use type and fragmentation level. Additionally, we projected changes in such impacts under four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP

SUBMITTER: Han L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12433899 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature