Phylogeography and Species Distribution Modeling of Guizhou Odorous Frog (<i>Odorrana kweichowensis</i>) Endemic to Southern China Karst Region.

ABSTRACT: Karst in Southwest China, recognized as biodiversity hotspots, exhibits heightened sensitivity to climate change. The effects of climate change on these ecosystems via species distribution and population genetics remain inadequately investigated. This study presents the first genetic analysis of the endemic karst species Odorrana kweichowensis, utilizing mitochondrial gene fragments COI and ND2 to assess genetic structure and historical population dynamics. We further predict habitat suitability and genetic diversity under four climate scenarios for 2050 and 2070. Our findings reveal no significant genetic differentiation among populations, and the rapid expansion experienced in the past may have been driven by climate change. By 2050, except for the RCP8.5 scenario, we anticipate o

SUBMITTER: Shize L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12434189 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature