Scenario Projections of COVID-19 Burden in the US, 2024-2025.

ABSTRACT:

Importance

COVID-19 remains a disease with high burden in the US, prompting continued debate about optimal targets for annual vaccination.

Objective

To project COVID-19 burden in the US for April 2024 to April 2025 under 6 scenarios of immune escape (20% and 50% per year) and levels of vaccine recommendation (no recommendation, vaccination for individuals at high risk only, vaccination for all eligible groups) and to assess the potential benefit of vaccine recommendations in reducing disease burden.

Design, setting, and participants

For this decision analytical model, the US Scenario Modeling Hub, a collaborative modeling effort, convened 9 teams to provide scenario projections of US COVID-19 hospitalizations and deaths for April 2024 to April 2025, under 6 scenarios

SUBMITTER: Loo SL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12447233 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature