Trends and predictive research on the global burden of ischemic heart disease from 1990 to 2021: an analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

To analyze trends in the global burden (GBD) of ischemic heart disease (IHD) over the past 30 years and health inequalities, as well as to predict the trends for the next 25 years.

Methods

Data on the incidence, prevalence, mortality, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), and risk factors for IHD were obtained from GBD 2021. Changing global, regional, and national trends from 1990 to 2021 were analyzed, accompanied by decomposition analysis. Potential for improvement was assessed using frontier analysis while conducting a regional risk factor ranking analysis. Joinpoint software and an age-period-cohort model were used to analyze IHD data further. Finally, future IHD trends were analyzed using the prediction models such as the Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis

SUBMITTER: Liang P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12491020 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature