Projected Impact of Higher E-cigarette or Combustible Cigarette Taxes on Use of Both Products in the U.S.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Higher taxes on e-cigarettes could reduce their use but might encourage combustible tobacco cigarette use. Simulation models enable evaluation of dynamic transitions between cigarette and e-cigarette use or nonuse and population-level projections in response to a policy change, such as higher taxes.

Methods

The authors used a microsimulation model to project the relative impact of higher taxes on cigarettes, e-cigarettes, or both on the prevalence of cigarette and e-cigarette use among U.S. youth (aged 12-17 years), young adults (aged 18-24 years), and adults (aged ≥25 years). They used multi-state models to derive the probabilities of transition across states of current/former/never cigarette smoking and e-cigarette use from Waves 2-5 (2015-2019) of the Populat

SUBMITTER: Reddy KP 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12505670 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature