Weight Status Transitions and Validation of an Obesity Model for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Children and Adolescents.

ABSTRACT: ObjectivesAboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children and adolescents are at higher risk of overweight and obesity, highlighting an inequitable public health concern. The aim of this study was to estimate transition probabilities and validate a model predicting the epidemiologic trajectory of overweight and obesity in Australian Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children.MethodsAn individual-level state-transition Markov model was developed to model transitions between healthy weight, overweight, and obesity for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander children aged between 2 and 14 y. Age-specific annual transition probabilities were derived from semi-parametric survival analyses using the Longitudinal Study of Indigenous Children. The model used annual cycles over a 12-y time horizon

SUBMITTER: Lung T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12511642 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature