Investigating linkages between human movement and meteorological variables on dengue outbreaks in the Pacific Islands.

ABSTRACT: The Pacific Island Countries and territories (PICs) experienced a doubling of annual reported dengue outbreaks between 2012 to 2019, including concurrent outbreaks of multiple dengue serotypes. This has major health implications for the region as reinfection can lead to more serious health complications. Decision support systems for dengue can mitigate the risk of outbreaks by providing information on which early planning and proactive interventions may be based. Such decision support systems require an understanding of the factors that drive dengue outbreaks. Current efforts to build decision support tools, such as disease forecasting models, rely on links between environmental factors and dengue outbreaks, largely ignoring human movement. To address this gap we used random forest and XGB

SUBMITTER: Sexton J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12543170 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature