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Modeling the Habitat Suitability and Range Shift of <i>Daphniphyllum macropodum</i> in China Under Climate Change Using an Optimized MaxEnt Model.


ABSTRACT: Climate change continues to threaten global biodiversity, making it essential to assess how keystone species may shift their distributions and to use these findings to inform conservation planning. This study evaluated the current and future habitat suitability of D. macropodum, an important tree species within subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forests in China, using 354 occurrence records and a suite of environmental variables. A parameter-optimized MaxEnt model (calibrated with ENMeval; RM = 4, FC = QHPT) was applied to simulate the species' present distribution and projected changes under three climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585). The main factors influencing distribution were determined to be moisture and temperature seasonality, with the precipitation of the coldest qu

SUBMITTER: Xiang Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12561130 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature