Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activity on the Potential Distribution of <i>Conogethes punctiferalis</i> in China.

ABSTRACT: Conogethes punctiferalis (Guenée, 1854) is a polyphagous pest with a wide host range and strong reproductive ability, and its potential threat to agricultural production cannot be ignored. Based on the optimized maximum entropy niche model, this study evaluated potential suitable habitats for C. punctiferalis in China and their dynamic changes under current conditions (Model 1: bioclimatic factors + elevation; Model 2: bioclimatic factors + elevation + human activity) and four different future climate scenarios (Model 3: bioclimatic factors + elevation + human activity). The results suggest that the potential suitable habitats for C. punctiferalis are mainly driven by a combination of temperature, precipitation, elevation, and human activity. Under current conditions,

SUBMITTER: Song CF 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12565121 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature