WiBISS: a tool to estimate avoided lost revenue of African swine fever wild boar vaccination at municipality level.

ABSTRACT: This study introduces the WiBISS model, a simulation tool designed to assess the economic and epidemiological impact of a hypothetical African Swine Fever (ASF) vaccination in wild boar in Northern Italy. Using real ASF outbreak data from January 2022 to June 2024, the model evaluates how prompt vaccination could reduce disease spread and economic losses. WiBISS integrates three modules: vaccination simulation, restriction zone estimation, and economic impact analysis. The first two use custom-built cellular automata (CA) in Python and ArcGIS Pro, modeling each ASF case as a cell that can be in one of three states: unvaccinated, infected, or vaccinated. Weekly iterations over 2.5 years simulate ASF progression and vaccination impact based on localized interactions and a defined vaccination

SUBMITTER: Ibanez-Porras P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12591982 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature