Effect of population aging on pulmonary tuberculosis burden in Zhejiang Province, China: a population-based study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

China's aging population poses a growing challenge to disease burden. This study aims to evaluate the impact of population aging on the incidence of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in Zhejiang Province, China.

Methods

PTB notified incidence data reported to the National Notifiable Diseases Reporting System from 2005 to 2022 were analyzed. The notified incidence from 2023 to 2035 was estimated using exponential regression models. The decomposition algorithm was applied to decompose and quantify the effects of population aging, population growth, and age-specific incidence on the PTB incidence.

Results

Between 2005 and 2022, the notified incidence of PTB in Zhejiang Province declined from 93.5 per 100,000 to 33.99 per 100,000. The highest notified incidence was

SUBMITTER: Ling Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12604989 | biostudies-literature | 2025

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature