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Projected productivity losses and economic costs due to heat stress under climate change scenarios in Brazil.


ABSTRACT: Working under extreme heat conditions threatens health and well-being, which is aggravated by climate change. This study estimated the impact of an increase in global temperature on workability in the Brazilian population and its respective economic costs, under two climate change scenarios, projected over the 21st century. Using daytime Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) climate models (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios), we estimated productivity losses in the country's principal labour activities: agriculture, civil construction, the manufacturing industry, services, and informal labour. The economic cost was obtained from daily wages, number of workers and productivity loss. Our results indicate that the North, Northeast and C

SUBMITTER: Dantas LG 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12615811 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature