Assessing climate change impacts on the geographical distribution of Cupressus sempervirens in the Mediterranean region.

ABSTRACT: Cupressus sempervirens L., a long-lived conifer of the Cupressaceae family, plays a vital ecological, medicinal, and economic role in the Mediterranean basin. Due to the species' sensitivity to climatic fluctuations, particularly temperature and precipitation regimes, understanding its potential distributional shifts under climate change is critical. This study employs ecological niche modeling to quantify the current and future potential geographic distribution of C. sempervirens under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5) for the mid-twenty-first century (2041-2060). Model outputs identified mean diurnal range (bio2), precipitation seasonality (bio15), and annual precipitation (bio12) as key determinants of habitat suitability. Presently, suitable habitats are concent

SUBMITTER: Behroozian M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12623895 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature