Effects of climate change on the habitat suitability of the endangered Hainan gymnure (Neohylomys hainanensis) on Hainan Island.

ABSTRACT: Climate change is a key driver of threats to global biodiversity; therefore, assessing its temporal and spatial impacts on endangered species and their habitats is crucial for developing adaptive conservation strategies. This study investigated the habitat dynamics of the endangered Hainan gymnure (Neohylomys hainanensis) by integrating ecological niche modelling using MaxEnt with geospatial analysis using ArcGIS. We considered ten climatic variables, three timepoints (current, 2055, and 2085), and three CO₂ emission scenarios. The results showed that 1) the current potential suitable habitat area is 11,092.14 km² (32.75% of Hainan Island), which is mainly distributed in central Hainan Island; 2) elevation (PC = 78.5%) and Bio1 (PI = 60.0%) are key environmental facto

SUBMITTER: Qiao Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12635087 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature