The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the global burden of mental disorders: a counterfactual modeling study from 1990 to 2021.

ABSTRACT: The COVID-19 pandemic has intensified the global burden of mental disorders, yet the gap between observed and counterfactual burdens without the pandemic, especially for major depressive and anxiety disorders, remains unexplored. To assess this gap, including its impact on specific regions and populations, thereby guiding future mental health services and policy development. Data of age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (ASDR) for mental disorders from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease dataset. This study employed a counterfactual model that combines Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Long Short-Term Memory to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on

SUBMITTER: Chen M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12639033 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature