Climate Change Enhances the Cultivation Potential of <i>Ficus tikoua</i> Bur. in China: Insights from Ensemble Modeling and Niche Analysis.

ABSTRACT: Climate change is reshaping plant distribution and ecological adaptation worldwide. Ficus tikoua Bur., a perennial resource plant native to Southwest and South China, has not been systematically assessed for its future cultivation potential. In this study, we used the Biomod2 ensemble modeling framework, integrating 12 algorithms with 469 occurrence records and 16 environmental variables, to predict the potential distribution and niche dynamics of F. tikoua under current and future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585). The ensemble model achieved high predictive accuracy based on multiple algorithms and cross-validation. The minimum temperature of the coldest month (bio6, 43.5%), maximum temperature of the warmest month (bio5, 25.0%), and annual precipitation (bio12

SUBMITTER: Liu M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12649892 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature