Factors predicting myopia incidence in China and Europe.

ABSTRACT:

Aims

To develop a predictive model for myopia incidence using population-based data from Chinese and European children.

Methods

Analysis of four longitudinal studies from the UK, Sweden and China was conducted. Data from 4405 non-myopic children aged 6 to 16.8 years with spherical equivalent (SE) refraction from -0.49 D to +10.00 D were analysed. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the probability of myopia incidence by 12 and 24 months based on age, sex, parental myopia, cycloplegic SE, axial length and axial length/corneal radius of curvature (AL/CR). Hyperopic reserve was defined as the minimum level of hyperopia required to provide <10% probability of developing myopia by 24 months.

Results

The cumulative incidence of myopia by th

SUBMITTER: Tahhan N 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC12682108 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature